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Central bank statement notes household spending is ‘moderate’ rather than ‘strong’
Words are a better guide than numbers on where the economy is heading.
The problem with bad data is that it lures us into believing false truths
In a time of complex issues such as populism and Brexit, a more human-centric vision of economics is needed
IMF’s Panglossian 2020 vision is eyed with ‘bemusement’ in some quarters
No picnics were had
Too much of what ails the world economy is the result of ‘stupid stuff’
Balance sheet and outlook in focus as Powell preaches monetary policy patience
Cheap loans and rate outlook put Draghi in camp of central bankers making monetary U-turn
A 54% plunge in economic output exceeds previous communist meltdown
Gilts and rail fares are pegged to index that gives misleadingly high rate for UK price rises
Debate centres on whether data indicate temporary slowdown or slide into recession
Fund keeps economic growth prediction for 2019 unchanged at 1.5%
Eric Rosengren says Fed can be patient amid uncertain economic outlook
Excess austerity is a bigger risk than fiscal profligacy
Markets became much more treacherous in 2018 as the global cycle matured
Government’s fiscal watchdog blames data revisions and other factors beyond its control
To make predictions, keep an open mind and understand what you don’t know
Wider uncertainty increases appeal of large, low-cost power projects
Data mining has opened a new front in the battle to see the future
FT readers and writers debate the future of the discipline
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